Comments on: Game -partly- over : Thaksin, fugitive, may ask for political asylum in England

By: FunnyThais

FunnyThais — Sat, 16 Aug 2008 14:35:13 +0000

Now a day more than 50% of Thais use their heads to walk instead of
using their feets to walk same as the ordinary world citizen.

You can see that a big group of Thais are calling the cuoup makers
to take over the power from an democratic elected govt.

At the present Thais are behind Burma in term of democracy fighters.Thais become a real military junta’s slaves by their own agreement.

It look very hopeless for Thailand to be a developing country in 21st.
century.Thais keep returning in to the year 1793.

By: chinesethai

chinesethai — Thu, 14 Aug 2008 09:37:49 +0000

Thaicrisis, these are what I fear happening most while we are waiting for Thaksin’s another return in not over 2 years.

1) Occasional and disperse bloodletting clashes between PAD and Thaksin’s supporters in North and Northeastern provinces as seen in Udornthani recently.

2) Light bomb blasts or threats in Bangkok as occured on 2007 new year’s eve.

3) Possible assassination of some leading Graft Probe Commissioners. I believe Mr.Sak Gorsangreung, Mr. Gla-narong Jantik, and Mrs.Jaruwan Maenthaga are likely targets.

Many foresee a ‘calmer’ Thailand but I don’t think so, judging from past occurrences.

PAD is still rallying their supporters, citing the reasons why Thaksin can be arrested and handed to Thai Authorities. I think this is stupid as they purposely overlook a fact that, for years, the Thai authorities have shown that they always failed to bring back Pin Jakkapak from London and Rakesh Suxena from Vancouver. Lots of hanky-pankies inside them. Thailand is run like a web of mafias (politicians, soldiers, police, billionaires, government officials, monks). They are inter-dependent.

As usual, innocent Thai people always pay the price.

By: ThaiCrisis

ThaiCrisis — Thu, 14 Aug 2008 04:52:35 +0000

I agree, this is why I wrote that the game was “partly” over. For the moment.

Thaksin must be red of rage… He will seek his revenge. And he’s still young. In a way, time is his best ally (along his will of power and his financial means).

Anyway, now, the domestic issues are about to come back on the headlines (dissolution of PPP, PAD rallyes etc.).

The crisis is not over. Far from it.

By: chinesethai

chinesethai — Thu, 14 Aug 2008 02:32:25 +0000

Thaksin will return after the King passing. No one then can no longer guarantee the integrity of Thailand’s court of justice.

Thaksin will not play any game with you unless he has the upperhand. If he is underdogged, he will just leave the game and flee.

His style of running businesses has been just like that. From IBC (cable TV monopoly) to AIS (cellphone oligopoly) to ShinSat (satellite monopoly) to … well, you name it.

By: ThaiCrisis

ThaiCrisis — Mon, 11 Aug 2008 15:40:44 +0000

Nope. My return was on schedule. But a good one. Spent a few days in north west Vietnam, in the mountains. Amazing scenery.

By: fall

fall — Mon, 11 Aug 2008 13:53:10 +0000

At least now the PAD won’t call government as interfering with court and justice system.
The SET is not even a very relevant business indicator. Many stock price below par and earning ratio. It’s a technical market, not fundamental.

PS – Did you come back from vacation just because Mr. T gone AWOL?

By: MSB

MSB — Mon, 11 Aug 2008 08:29:25 +0000

Politics is always tied to the economy and if you believe that stock prices in general follow economic performance then the marekt is a very useful indicator. But this is debatabel. What is not is that the SET index is the most urgent and first responder to both economic and political news. Thus it is a useful guide to future sentiment and thus confidence.

By: ThaiCrisis

ThaiCrisis — Mon, 11 Aug 2008 07:39:05 +0000

Sure.

I’m afraid the SET is not a very relevant political indicator…

As for the famous “confidence”… again I doubt that Thaksin’s exile is going to solve the PPI problem (chart with july figures on line tomorrow), to solve the CPI problem, etc.

And I should add that, on a very political level, the PAD has already announced that Thaksin’s departure… will not end the protests… against Samak’s government.

So it’s without any doubt an important news… but let’s be cautious there.

By: MSB

MSB — Mon, 11 Aug 2008 07:26:30 +0000

The stock market thinks otherwise. Thaksin gone, SET up. Confidence will return….

By: Thaksin exits stage left… at The FARANG Speaks 2 Much

Thaksin exits stage left… at The FARANG Speaks 2 Much — Mon, 11 Aug 2008 07:23:10 +0000

[...] folks. What a crazy turn of events – seems Thaksin is calling it a day. I have been feeling for some time that he would pack it in and realize that his insistence on [...]