Chart, tourists arrivals, 2008 : good Q2 but shadows on Q3

Back in business ! I’ve found again the statistics for tourists arrivals (read here). The Office Of Tourism set up a new website, took the old figures from TAT, and started to publish the new data for 2008.

That’s a good news.

However, from a monthly rythm we are now on a quaterly basis for the publication. So, we will have to be more patient.

Here is an update of my chart with the figures until june 2008. As you can see Q2 was good with an average growth year on year of 10 %.

touristq2

“International tourists arrivals” = total of foreign visitors coming to Thailand (by air, sea ports and land borders).

What about Q3 ? We can have a “taste” of it by looking at another set of data published before : “International arrivals at Suvarnabhumi Airport” (I guess the computers at Suvarnabhumi allow a faster data collection).

We have a drop of 16,1 % compared to Q3 2007.

Roughly 75 % of tourists arrive through Suvarnabhumi Airport, therefore it’s a good indicator for the number of total arrivals. We can say that Q3 will be bad.

Between the oil crisis last summer and the political crisis (several countries advise their nationals to avoid travelling to Thailand)… we can find many reasons for such a drop.

However, the big test is going to be Q4… the high season… and we will all look for the fallouts of the global financial crisis.

Stay tuned.

5 Responses to “Chart, tourists arrivals, 2008 : good Q2 but shadows on Q3”


  1. 1 Bob 18 November 2008 at 1:03 am

    …and arrivals from the big spenders of Asian countries are also way down:
    Q3-2008 Q3-2007 % Change
    China 139,403 6.49 196,785 7.68 -29.16
    Hong Kong 74,517 3.47 94,015 3.67 -20.74
    Japan 254,665 11.86 323,675 12.64 -21.32
    Korea 123,256 5.74 201,175 7.86 -38.73

  2. 2 ray 18 November 2008 at 11:26 am

    imagine a few months ago the govt. were saying that thailand is immune to the financial crisis.. i beieve this is the tip of the iceberg! while other countries have been coming out with measures to counter the recession thailand has not even started as yet.

  3. 3 MSB 19 November 2008 at 3:43 am

    October passenger numbers out today from AOT are not that bad. Passengers up 22% on the month although still down 11% from last year.

  4. 4 C Siam 22 June 2009 at 10:38 am

    I say it’s the tourist scammer doing the most damage to the tourism sector.
    You can’t defraud every body that comes for aholiday and get away with it for long.
    Read hundreds of tourist scam warnings here.

    http://www.skyscrapercity.com/showthread.php?t=676476
    It’s bad news.


  1. 1 The numbers are rolling in,more bogus reporting and Gulliver KS… at The FARANG Speaks 2 Much Trackback on 20 November 2008 at 6:42 am

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Thailand Crisis

Coup, Economic slowdown, Terror In the South... The situation is worsening in Thailand. Bumpy road like often before.

But this time, it's different.

The key to understand the present turmoil is the inevitable... succession of King Bhumibol.


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