Army bargain proposal : “End of rallies and House dissolution”


A situation monitoring panel under the Army resolved on Wednesday to a dual call for the government to dissolve the House and the People’s Alliance for Democracy to end its protests.

Army chief Gen Anupong Paochinda said at a press conference that this is a best way out of the political turmoil as the rival camps will have to simultanously cease their fights.

The panel expects the government to take the first move on the House dissolution, followed by the PAD to completely stop the opposition movement.

Should the government fail to heed the proposal, the bureaucracy might resort to civil disobedience to stop implementing government orders.

In case, the PAD fails to end the protests, social sanction will be imposed.

Anupong emerged after two-and-a-half hour meeting with academics and leading civil servants at the Army headquarter. (Nation)

Et voila ! Anupong, once again, passes the plate… A typical thai compromise ? PAD ends the rallies, and the government gives a house dissolution. Bargain.

One point for both camp, even, the ball in the middle ? Is it a proposal ? Or an ultimatum ?

I would say : it’s short.

Because a house dissolution means new elections… and new elections mean the victory of the PPP. Again. So ?

Furthermore, it’s a little bit a twisted rethoric : to put on the same level, in a bargain, 2 very different things…

UPDATE
BangkokPundit has some scary details about what could be a…. calendar issue. If we have a House dissolution now… that could mix with the verdict of the parties dissolution (read here)… leading to put on the side many MP’s who would be unable to change party in time, and therefore to run for elections.

UPDATE 2
Meanwhile, Somchai, the alleged Prime Minister (and Thaksin’s brother-in-law), after a ridiculous long trip in Peru (to drink llama’s milk), came back. At last. His plane landed at Don Muang. And then left again… to Chiang Mai ! Talk about a coward. (Nation)

UPDATE 3
Government spokesman Nattawut Saikuar rejected the army chief’s plea. “The prime minister has said many times that he will not quit or dissolve parliament because he has been democratically elected. That still stands,” he told Channel 3 television. (Reuters)

10 Responses to “Army bargain proposal : “End of rallies and House dissolution””


  1. 1 chinesethai 26 November 2008 at 12:33 pm

    ThaiCrisis:

    Nattawut Saikuea only knows how to lick his boss’s ass. Don’t take his word seriously. In fact, you can’t take any Thai policitians’ word seriously. 🙂 Somchai could abruptly change tune and dissolve the parliament anytime.

    BTW, do you know who Nattawut Saikuea is? His background, just in case? He was a comedian known for mimicking Democrat MP Trairong Suwanakiri and other southern MPs in a TV political satire show called “Sabha Joke” or Joke Parliament …. because he speaks Bangkok language with southern Thai accent. No one had ever thought of his political desire until he joined Jakkrapob Penkair and Veera Musikapong, both known for lese-majeste allegations, in denouncing and protesting violently in front of Chief Privy Councilor Prem Tinnasulanonda’s residence. The fact that he outperformed won Thaksin’s heart and mind (and money too). Therefore, he was rewarded with Govt Spokesman post!! So he is a comedian-turned-politician. Another bigotry in Thai politics, indeed. 😛

  2. 2 chinesethai 26 November 2008 at 12:51 pm

    The Nation has some outlook on Thai Politics next year.
    http://www.nationmultimedia.com/topstory/read.php?newsid=30089438

  3. 3 fall 26 November 2008 at 1:21 pm

    How does “End of rallies and House dissolution” a compromise? Was not it the what the PAD proposed all along?

    What scare me is this statement show how completely separate the military and executive branch. Executive branch cannot give an order that military branch do not like. This open up a whole new door of possibility for Burmese-junta style dictatorship.

    And as I have said before, if a group of protester can force government to bow to their demand by seizing airport. Guess where the next group of disgruntle farmers or whatever-protest groups would gather in the future?

  4. 4 chinesethai 26 November 2008 at 1:33 pm

    fall,

    I beg to disagree. I think Anupong’s latest move is rather a setback for PAD. The door to another coup has been closed. Puea Thai Party has already been registered and ready for next election. Former Army Commander Chaisit Shinawatra, Thaksin’s cousin, reemerged as the possible party leader. The party will buy its way to victory again but there is no end in sight to the crisis as long as Thaksin is still at large and the high profile death looms.

  5. 5 fall 26 November 2008 at 1:47 pm

    The door to another military coup was closed since the last coup. It is imaginative of the PAD to think the military would stage another coup. Think about it:

    The post-coup slush fund just an appetiser. The main course was a HUGE increase in military budget and promotions. If they stage another coup now, two things would happen:
    1. There will be sanction on military sell/purchase from foreign seller. Which means no payment, no kickback. What’s the use of having an increase in budget if you can’t HAVE it?
    2. There will be another position shuffling. So those who supported the last coup would be switch by those who support this coup(hence, no kickback for you). It is quite ironic that those military bigwig who risen with last coup would be the one who oppose another coup.

    So the game now is either military keep what they have, or risk loosing it all and gain everything(Burmese-style dictatorship).

    “The point is, ladies and gentleman, that greed — for lack of a better word — is good.”

  6. 6 ThaiCrisis 26 November 2008 at 1:48 pm

    I try to find something pertinent to write… But I can’t.
    😉
    Tiredness ?

    It’s such a mess.

    I’ve tried to imagine what could be the future, after the fall of the current gvt… and it’s not nice.

    Think about it : the PPP supporters… would adopt the PAD’s tactics. They would be entitled to be… very upset, right ? 😉

    So a new round of “guerilla” but this time against the “interim authority” (backed by the PAD/army)… A new round of paralysis…

    Please, wake me up ! It’s like a nightmare.

    But the worst part is : I wrote it in june 2007. I’ve always said that the crisis wouldn’t be solved until the royal succession.

    I start to be afraid… afraid to be right. Unfortunatly.

  7. 7 ThaiCrisis 26 November 2008 at 1:50 pm

    Fall : you forgot the end of the quote :
    “Greed is right.
    Greed works.
    Greed clarifies, cuts through, and captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit.
    Greed, in all of its forms — greed for life, for money, for love, knowledge — has marked the upward surge of mankind.”
    😉

    Great movie. A classic.

  8. 8 chinesethai 26 November 2008 at 2:35 pm

    TC: “I’ve always said that the crisis wouldn’t be solved until the royal succession.”

    You are so optimistic! I think the crisis could only get even worse after the royal succession. You need to look into Thai culture from an Asian perspective. (My guess is you are either French, Belgian, Quebecois, or Italian :P) In Thai culture, everything is so much hinged on one charismatic man running an organization, not because Thais do not believe in systems and institutionalization. But because cronyism/nepotism is so deep-rooted. As I always say, no one has successfully changed that. Therefore, no matter you hold one thousand more of elections, things would just look good on the surface. Deep down, democracy would never happen.

  9. 9 Hoktula 26 November 2008 at 3:01 pm

    PAD (“Panthaman”) finally shows its real face.

    and Anupong too – either he openly supports PAD, or is scared of PAD’s bosses.

    Sondhi L is maniac.

  10. 10 thaioutsidein 26 November 2008 at 3:23 pm

    somchai just announced he will not resign nor dissolve the government house.


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Thailand Crisis

Coup, Economic slowdown, Terror In the South... The situation is worsening in Thailand. Bumpy road like often before.

But this time, it's different.

The key to understand the present turmoil is the inevitable... succession of King Bhumibol.


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