Air Force flying high : “Don’t fear new elections… you could win again”


I’m wondering who is weirder than a thai general ? Maybe 2 thai generals ? Yes probably.

Air Force Commander-in-Chief ACM Itthaporn Supawong Sunday repeated the military’s call for Prime Minister Somchai Wongsawat to dissolve the House.

He said the call was agreed upon during a meeting of the situation monitoring committee and agreed by heads of government agencies, academics and representatives of the private sector.

The Air Force chief said the government had nothing to fear because it could win the next election again. (Nation)

Could Mister Air Force Supreme Being Chief Boss explain us what’s the point to say to the government : “dissolve the House, organize new elections and don’t be afraid because you could win again ” ?

What a twisted… and totally childish rethoric… !

And if the government “win again” then what ? Start over the process ? ๐Ÿ˜‰

More seriously, it’s the third time the generals call publicly the government to dissolve the House… Those calls start to pill up…

10 Responses to “Air Force flying high : “Don’t fear new elections… you could win again””

  1. 1 fall 30 November 2008 at 4:57 pm

    Actually, this confirmed my guess on some of the reasons why the police had not yet disperse the PAD at airport.
    – they need the Air force or Navy on this, to prevent the pretext on police violence for Army to step-in(or interim-government).
    Thus, my guess is, the stall due to Somchai negotiation with other military branch while they also negotiate with the army and Papa P. Without any military backing, there wont be police dispersing now.

    The dealing was done. No more touching the chess piece. The only remaining variable are the “Red Shirt”.

  2. 2 ThaiCrisis 30 November 2008 at 5:04 pm

    You might have a point.

    It’s now obvious that the military (army, air force, navy) don’t want to put their fingers into the “airport operation”.

    Anyway, it’s obvious too that the thai military do not follow the orders. They even call the government to step down !

    And the government is currently in exil… in the North ! Again, it’s something striking. But nowadays, everything is just extraordinary…

    So I start to think that we won’t see an assault on the airport.

    It would be way too costly.

    As for the remaining variables… you forgot one very important : the King.
    Talk about chess !

  3. 3 Jaded 30 November 2008 at 5:48 pm

    If the air force are now publicly saying that they won’t do the job, and the army are busy practicing for the big parade on Tuesday, then this just leaves the navy doesn’t it? I have read somewhere that there were some armed sailors outside the Suvarnabhumi airport… The oddest thing about this is that from the positioning of the gunboats that float off the beach in Hua Hin, I had always assumed that the navy was the branch that was least likely to support the government against the PAD. So if the government is asking the navy to deal with this and, despite the presence of a dozen armed sailors, the navy isn’t really motivated to do anything, why would the government have asked the navy? Chess move?

  4. 4 thaioutsidein 30 November 2008 at 6:37 pm

    Agree the king and red shirts are two key variables. But king will have the first move. My 2 cents –

    – King: Bhumibol is not in a very good health condition. Unclear how much of all this can he actually absorb and make a calculating move like he has done throughout his “career”. I am not even clear what he is really thinking (very clear about majority of the palace, Privy Council, but not the head of state himself). His speech on Dec 4 will have significant consequence: (some possibilities include: criticize airport coup, encouraging the judges, directly attacking somchai, encouraging the army, or not mentioning about politics at all). Anti-royalist sentiment is widespread like I have never witnessed in my adult life, and the palace recognizes this.

    – Red shirt: The red army will have to wait until after Dec 5 to make significant moves. The group might cause some unrest on Tuesday night and Wednesday after the predictable verdict, but would dare to cause unrest on Wednesday or Thursday.

  5. 5 John 30 November 2008 at 7:29 pm

    I agree with your conclusion that the police will do nothing. That would mean the ultimate solution must come from the king, before his birthday of course. So one of the coming days the king will invite mr Somchai and mr Anupong and guess what the next day mr Somchai will announce elections, also meaning the government will do nothing important in period up to the elections. Mr Prem will talk to Mr. Chalong and the PAD will leave the airports. Friday Bangkok will be a peaceful city (!??).

  6. 6 chinesethai 1 December 2008 at 1:36 am

    I also see the temporary solution as John and thaioutsidein.

    Thailand will be heading for another election. Puea Thai Party or PTP, which includes wives, children, brothers, sisters, cousins of the dissolved TRT and soon-to-be-dissolved PPP members will buy their way to a landslide winning again. Yingluck Shinawatra looks likely to be Thailand’s first female PM. Then back to Square One.

  7. 7 chinesethai 1 December 2008 at 1:48 am

    I am wondering what if Thailand doesn’t have HMK in the future. Who is going to be “the Last Resort” in similar crisis?

    1. His son?
    2. Pres Thaksin?

    I am not sure if both the royalists and republicans have thought about these possible scenarios.

  8. 8 Bedwyr 1 December 2008 at 1:54 am

    In this thread, as in others on TC’s excellent blog, the question has been rightly asked or hinted at, as to why the Palace has not intervened. The first possible answer must be obvious to all surely?

    As to the second possible answer, there have been persistent rumours circulating for some time, that HMK is not in a position to intervene or offer an utterance personally, and has in fact been effectively unable to make decisions for some time. This might explain what many people consider to have been HMQ’s extraordinarily partisan actions after the first clashes some weeks ago.

    I don’t know (and indeed could not know – not from from this distance anyway) whether or not any of this is true, but in recent months, both Samak and Somchai have been reported as emerging from an audience in a dazed and worried state, thereafter to remain silent on the proceedings – unusual for Thai PMs who normally revel in the limelight and sense of drama on these occasions.

    Rumours being rumours, they are probably completely wrong of course… but it is interesting to see one contributor (presumably a Thai)saying that he has never before witnessed anti-palace sentiment on the scale that exists now. I gather that in Isaan and the North, it is both more prevalent and much more serious – almost a tangible thing by all accounts.

    Storm clouds are gathering. Personally, I think that opinions that all this will fizzle out or blow over are so much wishful thinking, and may explain the silence of the international community (just Thais playing silly buggers again – it will all go away, that kind of thing). Or perhaps because people are just reluctant to acknowledge who is really behind it all.


  9. 9 ray 1 December 2008 at 4:50 am

    as of today there is very strong sentiment in the pubic/private sector to have a royally appointed prime minister. while i admit i am a supporter of the pad i really think this is not a good move. it shows that the thai parliament,political structure, and all the party leaders, privy councils, armend chiefs cannot solve a problem. its like kids who are always in need of adult supervision because they cannot look after themselves. it shows the lack of maurity and intellegence on so many levels that as a thai i actually feel sad for my countrymen.

  10. 10 Gloomy Observer 1 December 2008 at 5:00 am

    Doesn’t solve the problem: PPP will win again and then we start all over again…

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Thailand Crisis

Coup, Economic slowdown, Terror In the South... The situation is worsening in Thailand. Bumpy road like often before.

But this time, it's different.

The key to understand the present turmoil is the inevitable... succession of King Bhumibol.

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