Chart, tourists arrivals until september, and glimpse on Q4 2008

The Office Of Tourism has updated the data until september for the total of international arrivals (by air + land + sea), and until december for the airport of Suvarnabhumi.

First the chart by month, with the figures and the percentage of change year on year (compared to the same month of the previous year).


And then per quarter.


What about Q4 ? Right now we have only the data for the airport of  Suvarnabhumi (= 73 % in average of all the international tourists arrivals in Thailand).

The figures aren’t good (closure of the airport 1 week in november, and 5 days in december).

October : 749 976
November : 687 625
December : 646 321

4 Responses to “Chart, tourists arrivals until september, and glimpse on Q4 2008”

  1. 1 Prokster 11 February 2009 at 4:19 am

    Surely the December numbers wil be terrible no?
    From what I can gather BKK is suffering most, with all areas down a good 20-30% on last year, with some down closer to 50%

    Going to be a low low low season.

  2. 2 jeplang 11 February 2009 at 2:35 pm

    Please explain in simple terms what “% of change year-on-year” is suppose to mean?
    BTW ,it should be %age,not %.”%” means percent.

  3. 3 ThaiCrisis 11 February 2009 at 3:28 pm

    Yes, “5 percent” but “the percentage”. But I use sometimes “%” as a short cut.

    percentage of change year on year” means that you measure, in percent, the difference between the month of the current year, and the same month of the previous year.

    In october 2007, turn over = 100
    in october 2008, turn over = 120

    you can say that the turn over in october 2008 has recorded a growth of 20 % year-on-year (compared to october 2007).

    If you make a comparison between october 2008 and september 2008, then you would say “month-on-month”.

    The y-o-y is good to make comparisons. For tourism it’s perfect. M-o-m for tourism is not really appropriate because there are differences between the high and the low seasons for instance. It would make a distortion for the interpretation.

  4. 4 A.F. 12 February 2009 at 3:50 am

    On a slight tangent, if you scroll a bit farther down the page on the TAT website you can find “Guest Arrivals at Accommodation Establishments IN THAILAND” [sic]. You might like to look at the files for the East region and find the tab in the worksheet for Pattaya.

    Quarter-over-quarter there were drops of 35% and 48% for Q1 and Q2 respectively from 2007 to 2008 among foreigners. Clearly that’s a sign that the town is in serious trouble as those figures were generated before the airport debacles and before the scope of the global economic crisis became widely apparent.

    TAT does not publish their statistical methodologies so it’s hard to gauge the ultimate economic impact. Most importantly it seems to be just a raw head-count; there’s no way to say if it counts the same people twice and there’s no accounting for length of stay or any estimation of spending.

    At the risk of attracting the ire of the Pattaya Chamber of Commerce or the Rotary Club, it seems the obvious inference is that the world community of travelers have finally awakened to what a dire and depressing toilet Pattaya truly is.

    Build as many golf courses and water slides as you wish, but the average family on holiday really doesn’t care to spend a significant portion of their holiday tripping over prostitutes and their customers or braving the other criminality that such vice inevitably attracts.

    And as some of the tourist losses must certainly be counted among those self-same customers, we have to ask ourselves just how lousy a place must be for bottom-feeders like sex tourists to give up on it.

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Thailand Crisis

Coup, Economic slowdown, Terror In the South... The situation is worsening in Thailand. Bumpy road like often before.

But this time, it's different.

The key to understand the present turmoil is the inevitable... succession of King Bhumibol.

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