Red Shirts : penultimate call for “the mother of all rallies” and a tactical defeat

The anti-government United Front of Democracy Against Dictatorship (UDD) is planning to stage a major rally in Bangkok on 20 March, according to UDD leader Jatuporn Prompan.

Puea Thai MP Jatuporn Prompan disclosed today that the group will hold a major mass demonstration this weekend in their attempt to bring down the Abhisit Vejjajiva government. He said that whenever Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva enters the Parliament building or the Government House, the UDD supporters will immediately beseige the areas without intruding the premises, in order to directly voice their demand. (PRD)

Another call for the “mother of all rallies”.

It’s obviously a bad tactic. And a bad timing.

For once, general Panlop has a flash of common sense.

Gen Pallop Pinmanee, a Pheu Thai Party member, said Thursday that the red-shirt movement was on the verge of losing in the latest battle because the trio leaders lacked effective strategy.

Pallop said the protesters were now rallying on the day-by-day basis without an effective plan or strategy, prompting the people to leave and return home. (Nation)

The state apparatus has been taught a burning lesson with the riots of april 2009…

Furthermore, let’s not forget that the King is… in the hospital since… september 2009. Yes I know : 6 months already and nobody is saying anything. It’s surreal.

My point : the army will take no chance.

There won’t be any major political change until the royal succession is settled.  Period.

Eventhough, violence could occur, the state apparatus would immediately suppress it.

For the time being, the Red Shirts have zero chance to change the situation. Their struggle could be meaningful but only on the long term, with a strategy of harassment and peaceful protests.

5 Responses to “Red Shirts : penultimate call for “the mother of all rallies” and a tactical defeat”

  1. 1 Bedwyr 19 March 2010 at 8:57 am

    For the time being, the Red Shirts have zero chance to change the situation. Their struggle could be meaningful but only on the long term, with a strategy of harassment and peaceful protests.

    Could not agree more, they fell right into the trap Abhisit and the Palace laid for them.

    Abhist will not relinquish power, he likes power, he has no other shot at power, he isn’t going to give it up while his backside points to the ground.

    To get power, the pain level needs to be cranked up until Abhisit and the Palace are prepared to look at relinquishing power to sltop the pain. I am afraid its that simple, particularly in Thailand, because Thais only do something when they are made to by their levels of fear or pain – when they have no other choices, it is why Thais are so useless at managing everything from the corner shop to the bomb detectors to the national budget.

    To win, the Reds have to adopt the testicle strategy, they must get Abhisit and co by the balls. When you have them by the balls, their hearts and minds soon follow. Then the Reds will acheive something because right now they are concerned with being nice guys, and nice guys don’t get power in Thailand, only amoral thugs get power in Thailand. Ask Abhisit, Prem and Anupong, they know.

  2. 2 lol 19 March 2010 at 9:29 am

    It’s understandable that with all the current cards at hands, both sides can only do what they are doing.

    Agreed that timing and tactic is bad, but if they lose the anger of the people won’t go away.

    If there’s no vent to release the built up pressure, explosion can be severe.

  3. 3 Insanity 19 March 2010 at 12:22 pm

    PAD provided for their folks, and so do Reds. Does it make them a paid mob?

    Sample video, there are a number on youtube, of Red shirts being paid 2000 Baht for there protests.

    Wonder what percentage of the mobsters turns out only for the monetary handouts, free food, drink and colored shirt?

    And when PAD and its supporters next rally against Thaksin will the taxpayer pick up the monetary hand out costs?

  4. 4 African Nomad 20 March 2010 at 10:44 am

    Despite Mark Vejj’s commentary that all Thai citizens are equal, this is clearly not the case at all. Feudal lines are still clearly demarcated & this is known by all.

    True freedom in ‘The Land of The Free’ will only come when a major disruption of the present social order occurs.

    All sides know this, but few are willing to face these challenges with the level of determination & sacrifice required. Social upheaval comes at great price for all concerned, but, when it does, it comes extremely rapidly.

    The longer the pressure-cooker builds up under mounting suppression, the bigger the final explosion.

  5. 5 Avadar 20 March 2010 at 2:43 pm

    I agree with Nomad´s, the last comment!

    I thought TC would be right again, that nothing will change until after the Royal succession but I don´t think so anymore.

    Did you all see Mr. Abhisti on BBC in the video?

    I saw a very scared and intimidated man being interviewed. And things are progressing in Bangkok and the city is unmanageable and it looks like it will continue but not lose momentum.

    The army, the true ruler of Thailand behind Abhisit pretty face do not know what to do and the tides within the army are turning. The Thai´s don´t like to lose face or be on the losing sides so they can jump the wagon anytime.

    I think this Class struggle is explosive and it will lead to radical changes in Thailand right now….or very soon…even before the King is carried out of the hospital.

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Thailand Crisis

Coup, Economic slowdown, Terror In the South... The situation is worsening in Thailand. Bumpy road like often before.

But this time, it's different.

The key to understand the present turmoil is the inevitable... succession of King Bhumibol.

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